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D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Falls Nearly 30% In July As Investors Weigh Near-Term Risks Against Long-Term Promise

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) has dropped 29.4% month to date in July, drawing fresh scrutiny from investors weighing the quantum computing sector’s execution risks against its longer-term potential.

The decline significantly underperforms both the Computer and Technology sector’s 1.4% drop and the S&P 500’s 1.2% gain over the same period.

Analysts point to a combination of profit-taking, valuation concerns, and a macroeconomic environment defined by elevated U.S. Treasury yields as the primary drivers of the selloff.

The Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer interest rate posture has weighed disproportionately on speculative technology stocks, even as enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and quantum computing remains strong.

D-Wave’s pure-play quantum computing peers have suffered similarly steep losses, with IonQ (IONQ) falling 34.1% and Rigetti Computing (RGTI) declining 27% over the same period.

Despite the price pressure, D-Wave’s strategic momentum has continued, including a planned transfer of its stock listing from the NYSE to the Nasdaq later this month to improve visibility among technology-focused investors.

The company also disclosed that its Quantum Circuits subsidiary received a U.S. National Science Foundation grant supporting research in fault-tolerant quantum computing, expanding D-Wave’s reach beyond quantum annealing.

The broader industry backdrop remains supportive of the sector’s long-term growth, with NVIDIA (NVDA) recently introducing an open-source AI decoder that significantly improves quantum error-correction performance.

IBM separately reaffirmed plans to invest more than $10 billion in quantum technologies over the coming years, while governments across the United States and Europe continue expanding quantum research funding.

D-Wave is expected to report a second-quarter loss of 8 cents per share in early August, representing an 85.5% improvement from the year-ago quarter, with the full-year 2026 consensus calling for a loss of 25 cents per share.

That full-year estimate reflects a 77.5% improvement from 2025, though analysts have largely held their estimates steady, adopting a wait-and-see stance ahead of the earnings release.

From a technical standpoint, QBTS is trading well below both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, signaling sustained bearish momentum in the near term.

The Nasdaq listing transition and the upcoming second-quarter earnings report represent the two most immediate catalysts that could determine whether the stock finds a floor or continues lower.

Consistent with its Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), the recent pullback is seen as a potential buying opportunity for investors willing to look past near-term volatility while acknowledging that technical weakness may persist until fresh business catalysts emerge.